Samburu West MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Samburu County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Lesuuda Josephine Naisula (Kenya African National Union) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 15,855 (—) |
| Registered voters | 43,390 |
| Votes cast | 31,307 |
| Turnout | 72.2% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 72.2%: 31,306
- Votes to win: 15,654
- Safer target (55.0%): 17,219
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Samburu West MP seat in 2022?
Lesuuda Josephine Naisula (Kenya African National Union) won with 15,855 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Samburu West MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 72.2%, about 31,306 votes will be cast. More than half is 15,654 votes; a safer target is 17,219. This is not a forecast.