Ol Jorok MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Nyandarua County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Muchira Michael Mwangi (United Democratic Alliance) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 26,980 (—) |
| Registered voters | 60,147 |
| Votes cast | 39,860 |
| Turnout | 66.3% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 66.3%: 39,859
- Votes to win: 19,930
- Safer target (55.0%): 21,923
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Ol Jorok MP seat in 2022?
Muchira Michael Mwangi (United Democratic Alliance) won with 26,980 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Ol Jorok MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 66.3%, about 39,859 votes will be cast. More than half is 19,930 votes; a safer target is 21,923. This is not a forecast.