Mumias West MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Kakamega County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Naicca Johnson Manya (Orange Democratic Movement) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 15,868 (—) |
| Registered voters | 52,512 |
| Votes cast | 30,853 |
| Turnout | 58.8% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 58.8%: 30,851
- Votes to win: 15,426
- Safer target (55.0%): 16,969
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Mumias West MP seat in 2022?
Naicca Johnson Manya (Orange Democratic Movement) won with 15,868 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Mumias West MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 58.8%, about 30,851 votes will be cast. More than half is 15,426 votes; a safer target is 16,969. This is not a forecast.