Lamu West MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Lamu County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Muiruri Muthama Stanley (Jubilee Party) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 14,515 (—) |
| Registered voters | 59,406 |
| Votes cast | 35,365 |
| Turnout | 59.5% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 59.5%: 35,364
- Votes to win: 17,683
- Safer target (55.0%): 19,451
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Lamu West MP seat in 2022?
Muiruri Muthama Stanley (Jubilee Party) won with 14,515 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Lamu West MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 59.5%, about 35,364 votes will be cast. More than half is 17,683 votes; a safer target is 19,451. This is not a forecast.