Kisumu East MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027

Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Kisumu County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.

2022 result

WinnerAhmed Shakeel Ahmed Shabbir (Independent)
Winning votes35,704 (—)
Registered voters93,177
Votes cast64,962
Turnout69.7%

Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.

Votes to win in 2027

This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.

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Questions

Who won the Kisumu East MP seat in 2022?

Ahmed Shakeel Ahmed Shabbir (Independent) won with 35,704 votes.

How many votes does it take to win Kisumu East MP in 2027?

If turnout repeats 69.7%, about 64,963 votes will be cast. More than half is 32,482 votes; a safer target is 35,730. This is not a forecast.

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