Kajiado South MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Kajiado County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Sakimba Parashina Samuel (Orange Democratic Movement) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 18,592 (—) |
| Registered voters | 71,061 |
| Votes cast | 51,234 |
| Turnout | 72.1% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 72.1%: 51,235
- Votes to win: 25,618
- Safer target (55.0%): 28,180
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Kajiado South MP seat in 2022?
Sakimba Parashina Samuel (Orange Democratic Movement) won with 18,592 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Kajiado South MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 72.1%, about 51,235 votes will be cast. More than half is 25,618 votes; a safer target is 28,180. This is not a forecast.