Butula MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Busia County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Oyula Joseph H Maero (Orange Democratic Movement) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 28,961 (—) |
| Registered voters | 67,377 |
| Votes cast | 43,809 |
| Turnout | 65.0% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 65.0%: 43,809
- Votes to win: 21,905
- Safer target (55.0%): 24,095
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Butula MP seat in 2022?
Oyula Joseph H Maero (Orange Democratic Movement) won with 28,961 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Butula MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 65.0%, about 43,809 votes will be cast. More than half is 21,905 votes; a safer target is 24,095. This is not a forecast.