Magwagwa Ward MCA: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of County Assembly seat in Nyamira County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Mose Abel Mokaya United Progressive (UPA) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 3,831 (—) |
| Registered voters | 12,780 |
| Votes cast | 8,859 |
| Turnout | 69.3% |
Partial results: the source is missing some polling streams or minor candidates, so totals and shares may differ slightly from the official IEBC tally. View source
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 69.3%: 8,859
- Votes to win: 4,430
- Safer target (55.0%): 4,873
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Magwagwa Ward MCA seat in 2022?
Mose Abel Mokaya United Progressive (UPA) won with 3,831 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Magwagwa Ward MCA in 2027?
If turnout repeats 69.3%, about 8,859 votes will be cast. More than half is 4,430 votes; a safer target is 4,873. This is not a forecast.