Kagan Ward MCA: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of County Assembly seat in Homa Bay County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Odhiambo David Hamiltone (Independent) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 4,432 (37.7%) |
| Runner-up | Ben Henry Obado: 2,382 (20.3%) |
| Winning margin | 2,050 votes (17.5%) |
| Registered voters | 16,000 |
| Votes cast | 11,723 |
| Turnout | 73.3% |
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 73.3%: 11,723
- Votes to win: 4,425
- Safer target (42.7%): 5,011
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Kagan Ward MCA seat in 2022?
Odhiambo David Hamiltone (Independent) won with 4,432 votes (37.7%).
How many votes does it take to win Kagan Ward MCA in 2027?
If turnout repeats 73.3%, about 11,723 votes will be cast. Matching the 2022 winner's 37.7% share means about 4,425 votes; a safer target is 5,011. This is not a forecast.