Homa Bay Arujo Ward MCA: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of County Assembly seat in Homa Bay County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Otieno Tonny Okoth (Independent) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 4,323 (—) |
| Registered voters | 13,283 |
| Votes cast | 9,700 |
| Turnout | 73.0% |
Partial results: the source is missing some polling streams or minor candidates, so totals and shares may differ slightly from the official IEBC tally. View source
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 73.0%: 9,701
- Votes to win: 4,851
- Safer target (55.0%): 5,336
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Homa Bay Arujo Ward MCA seat in 2022?
Otieno Tonny Okoth (Independent) won with 4,323 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Homa Bay Arujo Ward MCA in 2027?
If turnout repeats 73.0%, about 9,701 votes will be cast. More than half is 4,851 votes; a safer target is 5,336. This is not a forecast.