Chemelil Ward MCA: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of County Assembly seat in Kisumu County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Odari Fredrick Ochieng Orange Democratic (Orange Democratic Movement) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 6,395 (—) |
| Registered voters | 16,933 |
| Votes cast | 12,522 |
| Turnout | 74.0% |
Partial results: the source is missing some polling streams or minor candidates, so totals and shares may differ slightly from the official IEBC tally. View source
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 74.0%: 12,522
- Votes to win: 6,262
- Safer target (55.0%): 6,888
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
Test your strongholds in Chemelil Ward MCA: mark the areas that support you, the swing areas and your opponent’s, and see how many votes that gives you. Free.
Start a free campaign analysis for Chemelil Ward MCA: the field organisation, polling agents, logistics and illustrative budget this seat could need.
Other seats in this county
Other wards in this constituency
Questions
Who won the Chemelil Ward MCA seat in 2022?
Odari Fredrick Ochieng Orange Democratic (Orange Democratic Movement) won with 6,395 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Chemelil Ward MCA in 2027?
If turnout repeats 74.0%, about 12,522 votes will be cast. More than half is 6,262 votes; a safer target is 6,888. This is not a forecast.