Arror Ward MCA: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027

Past results for the Member of County Assembly seat in Elgeyo Marakwet County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.

2022 result

WinnerMutwol Justine Kosgei (Independent)
Winning votes2,333 (—)
Registered voters5,243
Votes cast4,142
Turnout79.0%

Partial results: the source is missing some polling streams or minor candidates, so totals and shares may differ slightly from the official IEBC tally. View source

Votes to win in 2027

This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.

Test your strongholds in Arror Ward MCA: mark the areas that support you, the swing areas and your opponent’s, and see how many votes that gives you. Free.

Start a free campaign analysis for Arror Ward MCA: the field organisation, polling agents, logistics and illustrative budget this seat could need.

Other seats in this county

Other wards in this constituency

All seats in Elgeyo Marakwet County

Questions

Who won the Arror Ward MCA seat in 2022?

Mutwol Justine Kosgei (Independent) won with 2,333 votes.

How many votes does it take to win Arror Ward MCA in 2027?

If turnout repeats 79.0%, about 4,142 votes will be cast. More than half is 2,072 votes; a safer target is 2,279. This is not a forecast.

Free campaign guides