Wajir Governor: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Governor seat, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Ahmed Abdulahi (ODM) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 35,533 (35.5%) |
| Runner-up | Mohamed Adam: 27,224 (27.2%) |
| Winning margin | 8,309 votes (8.3%) |
| Registered voters | 206,367 |
| Votes cast | 133,372 |
| Turnout | 64.6% |
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 64.6%: 133,375
- Votes to win: 47,349
- Safer target (40.5%): 54,017
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Wajir Governor seat in 2022?
Ahmed Abdulahi (ODM) won with 35,533 votes (35.5%).
How many votes does it take to win Wajir Governor in 2027?
If turnout repeats 64.6%, about 133,375 votes will be cast. Matching the 2022 winner's 35.5% share means about 47,349 votes; a safer target is 54,017. This is not a forecast.