Tharaka Nithi Governor: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Governor seat, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Muthomi Njuki (UDA) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 97,151 (60.4%) |
| Runner-up | Erastus Njoka: 58,152 (36.1%) |
| Winning margin | 38,999 votes (24.2%) |
| Registered voters | 229,999 |
| Votes cast | 160,355 |
| Turnout | 69.7% |
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 69.7%: 160,355
- Votes to win: 96,823
- Safer target (65.4%): 104,841
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Tharaka Nithi Governor seat in 2022?
Muthomi Njuki (UDA) won with 97,151 votes (60.4%).
How many votes does it take to win Tharaka Nithi Governor in 2027?
If turnout repeats 69.7%, about 160,355 votes will be cast. Matching the 2022 winner's 60.4% share means about 96,823 votes; a safer target is 104,841. This is not a forecast.