Nyeri Governor: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Governor seat, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Mutahi Kahiga (UDA) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 213,373 (65.5%) |
| Runner-up | Thuo Mathenge: 81,467 (25.0%) |
| Winning margin | 131,906 votes (40.5%) |
| Registered voters | 478,845 |
| Votes cast | 324,802 |
| Turnout | 67.8% |
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 67.8%: 324,801
- Votes to win: 212,778
- Safer target (70.5%): 229,018
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Nyeri Governor seat in 2022?
Mutahi Kahiga (UDA) won with 213,373 votes (65.5%).
How many votes does it take to win Nyeri Governor in 2027?
If turnout repeats 67.8%, about 324,801 votes will be cast. Matching the 2022 winner's 65.5% share means about 212,778 votes; a safer target is 229,018. This is not a forecast.