Migori Governor: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027

Past results for the Governor seat, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.

2022 result

WinnerOchilo Ayako (ODM)
Winning votes175,226 (50.0%)
Runner-upJohn Pesa: 126,171 (36.0%)
Winning margin49,055 votes (14.0%)
Registered voters468,330
Votes cast347,204
Turnout74.1%

Votes to win in 2027

This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.

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Questions

Who won the Migori Governor seat in 2022?

Ochilo Ayako (ODM) won with 175,226 votes (50.0%).

How many votes does it take to win Migori Governor in 2027?

If turnout repeats 74.1%, about 347,220 votes will be cast. Matching the 2022 winner's 50.0% share means about 173,645 votes; a safer target is 191,006. This is not a forecast.

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