Marsabit Governor: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Governor seat, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Mohamud Ali (UDM) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 38,803 (33.8%) |
| Runner-up | Francis Ganya: 28,279 (24.6%) |
| Winning margin | 10,524 votes (9.2%) |
| Registered voters | 166,912 |
| Votes cast | 114,894 |
| Turnout | 68.8% |
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 68.8%: 114,902
- Votes to win: 38,826
- Safer target (38.8%): 44,571
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Marsabit Governor seat in 2022?
Mohamud Ali (UDM) won with 38,803 votes (33.8%).
How many votes does it take to win Marsabit Governor in 2027?
If turnout repeats 68.8%, about 114,902 votes will be cast. Matching the 2022 winner's 33.8% share means about 38,826 votes; a safer target is 44,571. This is not a forecast.